Joshua vs Klitschko
    
Passing of the torch, changing of the guard.  Both would be appropriate, were Tyson Fury's name not synonymous with 'that night' out in Germany.  That said, the event and the spectacle have to be admired.  The Promotional work of Eddie Hearn, to pack 90,000 people into Wembley when only a single fight was announced; sensational work (whether to first or secondary markets, the tickets sold regardless).  But he can't step into the ring, he can't bring home the 2 of the 4 major world heavyweight titles up for offer on April 29th.

Unarguably this fight has fallen 18 months too early for Joshua, which means you have to give him credit for accepting it.  Of course, the fight may not have been available in 18 months, the opponent may no longer have been active.  Has it also fallen 18 months too late for Klitschko though?  That is where this fight hinges.  Joshua brings nothing to the table that can frighten the Ukranian; Samuel Peters arguably hit harder than the young man from Watford, while David Haye had the more fluid foot movement and speed to come in and out of range at ease.  For both opponenets, Klitschko found a way to nullify the threat (albeit at the second time of asking for Peters).  It's whether these attributes in a single package will pose issues for Klitschko.  


If Klitschko is able to establish the trademark, ram-rod jab early on in the fight and rediscover the confidence to let his right hand go, it is a long night for AJ.  As old as he may be, he is wily to go with it.  Expect him to use that full frame to lean on Joshua, make him force and struggle his way out of the clinches, expending the energy no opponent has made him do before.  Yes, Joshua has fought a big man in Dominic Breazeale, but his ability was limited.  He couldn't find a way to contain Joshua in a way that we have seen Klitschko do countless times before.


The refereeing may be pivotal; an early break, and Joshua gets the breather.  If the clinch is allowed, it saps the energy of Joshua.  We saw with David Haye a reluctance to indulge Klitschko with a clinch and instead, willing to fall to the canvas.  It may never have been a fan pleasing move but it was undoubtedly wise.  You sense that the larger Joshua has more 'machismo' about him, will look to struggle his way out or alternatively, await the referee's intervention.  The past 12 months have seen plenty of controversial decisions go in the favour of the home Matchrrom fighter, to the ire of many watching.  It is not out of the question that the refereeing would be beneficial to Joshua, a quick release at the first sign of Wlad pushing his weight down onto Joshua.

From Joshua, we can expect the rudimentary.  A man who is still learning his trade, a man with less professional fights that Klitshko has had title bouts.  It would be asking a lot for his coach Rob McCracken to install a new skillset and psychology from those we have seen in the preceding 18 fights.  When you dissect the biggest challenge that Joshua has overcome, it is undoubtedly the left hook that left him wobbled against Dillian Whyte in December 2015.  So what has Joshua learned since that pre-Christmas dust up?  Very little.  The Charles Martin fight taught him how to lift the belt in the air.  The Dominic Breazeale fight taught him how to punch a static target for seven round.  The night of Eric Molina taught him how to announce his next fight when his current victim is making his way off stage.  

In other words, we don't know what Joshua has learned since December 2015, but we know that it is very little under the pressure of the bright lights and crowds.  Arguably Breazeale is his best preparation to date, which in hindsight now looks better after the American stopped unbeaten Izuagbe Ugonoh within five rounds.  But that night, Breazeale didn't turn up against Joshua, he didn't show the same ambition.

There are lazy comparisons between Tyson and Joshua, not least by Tony Bellew in the buildup to this fight.  The two are nothing alike in the ring; Joshua doesn't carry the explosive fire power, rapid hooks to the body, bobbing and weaving and the desire to close a fight into a phonebox affair.  But what they perhaps do share is a psychological power that takes hold long before the opening bell rings.  The fact that Breazeale was a different product that night against Izuagbe Ugonoh than he showed against Joshua is perhaps a demonstration of how AJ has beaten nearly all his opponents when the contracts are signed.  Charles Martin came over as champion and went home an embarassment, unwilling to show heart and desire against his contender.  Perhaps that is the most striking resemblance between the early version of Tyson and the Joshua we are seeing now.

You can make a very real case for both men winning this fight, which makes it fascinating.  If 80% of the Klitschko who dominated from 2004 for over a decade turns up, I'm going with a Wladimir win inside 9.  This is where the corner work of Johnathon Banks is imperative, he needs to find his inner Emanuel Steward and channel the old Coaches psychology and plans into practice.  Since the death of Steward, Klitschko has faced Wach, Pianeta, Povetkin, Leapai, Pulev, Jennings and Fury.  Povetkin for his part was a real threat in advance, but was dealt with.  The only other name on that list of note is that of Tyson Fury, who notoriously came home from Germany with the belts and causing subsequent disarray in the heavyweight scene.  Banks that night was unable to turn a key inside of Wladimir.  He stalled.  


If the gun-shy, laborious version that turned out against Bryant Jennings and Tyson Fury turns up, then Joshua could cement himself as a superstar in boxing.  Of course, should he finish the fight (and arguabley the career) within a round, then of course fans will say that Klitschko was finished before the fight, that Fury drained the remaining life of the Ukranian future Hall of Famer.  Is that fair?  Likely, if it happens.  It may not be fair to Joshua, as it certainly wouldn't be his fault, but it would be a fair assessment.  The best way that Joshua comes out of this fight is clearly with the win, but also with a challenge.  It is all that boxing  fans have asked for, to see the proposed heir apparent taken to dark places and come out the other side.  Should that happen, expect Wembley to be re-booked for late Summer 2017.